|
|
|
ALL DEBATE WATCHERS |
|
REPUBLICANS ONLY |
|
DEMOCRATS ONLY |
|
INDEPENDENTS ONLY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
WHO WON 3RD
PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE 10/13? |
BUSH CLEARLY WON
10/13 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
10/13 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/13 |
|
BUSH CLEARLY WON 10/13 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
10/13 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/13 |
|
BUSH CLEARLY WON 10/13 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
10/13 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/13 |
|
BUSH CLEARLY WON 10/13 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
10/13 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/13 |
|
#
Adults
Inter-
viewed |
#
Who Saw
Entire
Debate |
Margin
Of
Sampling
Error |
Sponsoring
Media
Client |
|
BUSH CLEARLY WON 9/30 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
9/30 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 9/30 |
|
CHENEY CLEARLY WON 10/5 DEBATE |
EDWARDS CLEARLY
WON 10/5 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/5 |
|
BUSH CLEARLY WON 10/8 DEBATE |
KERRY CLEARLY WON
10/8 DEBATE |
NO
CLEAR WINNER
ON 10/8 |
|
|
States |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
New York |
31% |
53% |
15% |
62% |
15% |
22% |
|
17% |
69% |
14% |
|
31% |
56% |
12% |
|
1200 |
489 |
± 4.6 |
WABC-TV, WGRZ-TV, WRGB-TV |
|
24% |
57% |
19% |
|
33% |
45% |
21% |
|
| 2 |
New Jersey |
37% |
50% |
12% |
72% |
13% |
15% |
11% |
80% |
9% |
42% |
44% |
14% |
1200 |
540 |
± 4.4 |
WABC-TV, WCAU-TV |
29% |
52% |
18% |
36% |
39% |
25% |
| 3 |
Maine |
33% |
49% |
17% |
71% |
14% |
15% |
8% |
73% |
18% |
29% |
53% |
17% |
1100 |
409 |
± 5 |
WCSH-TV, WLBZ-TV |
31% |
49% |
19% |
39% |
38% |
22% |
| 4 |
California * |
36% |
48% |
15% |
75% |
11% |
15% |
13% |
72% |
15% |
29% |
55% |
16% |
1100 |
523 |
± 4.4 |
KABC-TV, KPIX-TV,
KXTV-TV, KGTV-TV |
29% |
53% |
17% |
40% |
40% |
18% |
38% |
48% |
13% |
| 5 |
Oregon * |
39% |
48% |
12% |
70% |
15% |
14% |
10% |
78% |
12% |
38% |
50% |
11% |
1100 |
526 |
± 4.4 |
KATU-TV |
31% |
50% |
18% |
39% |
43% |
18% |
38% |
47% |
15% |
| 6 |
Washington * |
36% |
47% |
17% |
73% |
9% |
18% |
3% |
82% |
15% |
32% |
50% |
18% |
1100 |
530 |
± 4.4 |
KING-TV, KHQ-TV |
32% |
52% |
16% |
37% |
43% |
19% |
36% |
49% |
14% |
| 7 |
Illinois |
37% |
46% |
16% |
73% |
7% |
20% |
11% |
75% |
14% |
35% |
49% |
16% |
1100 |
454 |
± 4.7 |
WBBM-TV, KSDK-TV |
32% |
48% |
19% |
47% |
36% |
15% |
|
| 8 |
Arkansas |
41% |
45% |
13% |
79% |
7% |
14% |
8% |
81% |
10% |
44% |
40% |
14% |
1100 |
444 |
± 4.8 |
KTHV-TV |
34% |
46% |
19% |
47% |
36% |
16% |
| 9 |
Pennsylvania |
40% |
44% |
15% |
66% |
14% |
20% |
16% |
75% |
8% |
40% |
39% |
20% |
1200 |
510 |
± 4.5 |
WCAU-TV, KDKA-TV,
WNEP-TV |
25% |
47% |
27% |
41% |
42% |
17% |
| 10 |
Colorado * |
42% |
43% |
14% |
77% |
13% |
10% |
11% |
76% |
13% |
35% |
45% |
19% |
1000 |
498 |
± 4.5 |
KUSA-TV, KOAA-TV |
39% |
39% |
22% |
46% |
34% |
19% |
42% |
41% |
16% |
| 11 |
Florida |
42% |
42% |
16% |
73% |
11% |
15% |
9% |
78% |
13% |
44% |
37% |
18% |
1200 |
580 |
± 4.2 |
WFOR-TV, WFLA-TV,
WKMG-TV, WPTV-TV, WTLV-TV |
31% |
45% |
23% |
44% |
40% |
16% |
42% |
42% |
16% |
| 12 |
Texas |
45% |
41% |
13% |
76% |
10% |
12% |
12% |
74% |
12% |
41% |
45% |
14% |
1100 |
478 |
± 4.6 |
KPRC-TV, KEYE-TV,
WOAI-TV |
41% |
39% |
19% |
49% |
37% |
14% |
|
| 13 |
Kentucky |
50% |
34% |
16% |
78% |
9% |
12% |
29% |
55% |
15% |
41% |
37% |
22% |
1100 |
449 |
± 4.7 |
WHAS-TV, WLEX-TV |
38% |
40% |
20% |
42% |
39% |
18% |
| 14 |
Oklahoma |
52% |
31% |
16% |
78% |
5% |
17% |
22% |
63% |
13% |
42% |
36% |
19% |
1100 |
435 |
± 4.8 |
KFOR-TV, KJRH-TV |
40% |
35% |
25% |
48% |
29% |
18% |
|
Metropolitan Areas |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 |
Providence |
34% |
51% |
15% |
76% |
8% |
14% |
|
8% |
80% |
11% |
|
36% |
48% |
16% |
1200 |
366 |
± 5.3 |
WLNE-TV |
|
25% |
56% |
18% |
|
36% |
38% |
26% |
| 16 |
St. Louis |
36% |
51% |
13% |
77% |
9% |
15% |
7% |
82% |
10% |
38% |
48% |
14% |
1200 |
383 |
± 5.2 |
KSDK-TV |
28% |
50% |
21% |
39% |
43% |
17% |
39% |
45% |
16% |
| 17 |
Detroit |
33% |
50% |
17% |
76% |
11% |
13% |
5% |
83% |
12% |
28% |
44% |
28% |
900 |
420 |
± 5 |
WDIV-TV |
21% |
56% |
22% |
41% |
36% |
23% |
|
| 18 |
Boston |
35% |
49% |
15% |
70% |
13% |
17% |
10% |
76% |
12% |
37% |
46% |
17% |
1200 |
396 |
± 5.1 |
WBZ-TV |
21% |
55% |
23% |
32% |
42% |
25% |
| 19 |
Las Vegas * |
42% |
47% |
11% |
79% |
12% |
9% |
12% |
76% |
11% |
42% |
46% |
12% |
1100 |
518 |
± 4.5 |
KVBC-TV |
33% |
49% |
17% |
47% |
40% |
13% |
43% |
44% |
12% |
| 20 |
Baltimore |
39% |
46% |
14% |
74% |
15% |
10% |
16% |
72% |
12% |
32% |
47% |
19% |
900 |
406 |
± 5 |
WMAR-TV |
29% |
50% |
20% |
42% |
41% |
17% |
|
|
|
| 21 |
Tucson * |
41% |
45% |
14% |
78% |
11% |
11% |
12% |
74% |
13% |
36% |
47% |
17% |
1100 |
595 |
± 4.2 |
KVOA-TV |
35% |
48% |
17% |
44% |
37% |
18% |
41% |
42% |
17% |
| 22 |
Raleigh-Durham |
41% |
44% |
14% |
78% |
6% |
15% |
11% |
76% |
12% |
43% |
40% |
17% |
900 |
376 |
± 5.2 |
WTVD-TV |
35% |
46% |
18% |
42% |
43% |
14% |
|
| 23 |
Cleveland |
41% |
42% |
16% |
76% |
4% |
19% |
11% |
73% |
15% |
46% |
38% |
16% |
900 |
387 |
± 5.2 |
WKYC-TV |
26% |
51% |
23% |
42% |
40% |
18% |
| 24 |
Charleston |
43% |
41% |
15% |
76% |
10% |
14% |
4% |
87% |
7% |
33% |
42% |
24% |
900 |
328 |
± 5.5 |
WCSC-TV |
33% |
43% |
23% |
48% |
37% |
14% |
| 25 |
Charlotte |
43% |
41% |
15% |
69% |
13% |
17% |
8% |
75% |
15% |
43% |
45% |
11% |
900 |
385 |
± 5.2 |
WBTV-TV |
39% |
41% |
19% |
52% |
33% |
14% |
| 26 |
Phoenix * |
43% |
41% |
16% |
73% |
11% |
15% |
12% |
80% |
8% |
36% |
42% |
22% |
1100 |
594 |
± 4.2 |
KPNX-TV |
42% |
40% |
18% |
47% |
35% |
17% |
50% |
38% |
11% |
| 27 |
Indianapolis |
44% |
40% |
16% |
80% |
6% |
13% |
9% |
79% |
12% |
32% |
47% |
21% |
900 |
352 |
± 5.3 |
WXIN-TV |
37% |
36% |
26% |
53% |
31% |
15% |
|
| 28 |
Cincinnati |
43% |
39% |
18% |
73% |
7% |
21% |
12% |
75% |
13% |
40% |
42% |
19% |
900 |
405 |
± 5 |
WCPO-TV |
35% |
37% |
26% |
51% |
33% |
16% |
| 29 |
Des Moines |
46% |
38% |
16% |
82% |
4% |
14% |
10% |
75% |
15% |
47% |
36% |
17% |
900 |
346 |
± 5.4 |
WHO-TV |
30% |
50% |
20% |
43% |
40% |
18% |
| 30 |
Grand Rapids |
45% |
36% |
19% |
75% |
7% |
17% |
5% |
75% |
20% |
43% |
36% |
21% |
900 |
365 |
± 5.3 |
WZZM-TV |
35% |
44% |
19% |
48% |
33% |
19% |
| 31 |
Knoxville |
50% |
36% |
13% |
76% |
8% |
14% |
6% |
83% |
12% |
51% |
35% |
13% |
900 |
398 |
± 5 |
WBIR-TV |
43% |
37% |
18% |
52% |
31% |
17% |
| 32 |
Roanoke |
49% |
34% |
17% |
79% |
8% |
13% |
8% |
76% |
13% |
51% |
27% |
22% |
900 |
331 |
± 5.5 |
WSLS-TV |
34% |
42% |
22% |
48% |
32% |
18% |
| 33 |
Wichita |
50% |
33% |
17% |
79% |
9% |
13% |
13% |
69% |
17% |
35% |
40% |
24% |
900 |
313 |
± 5.7 |
KWCH-TV |
41% |
32% |
26% |
55% |
26% |
19% |
| 34 |
Mobile |
57% |
32% |
10% |
86% |
5% |
8% |
17% |
75% |
7% |
53% |
27% |
20% |
900 |
358 |
± 5.3 |
WKRG-TV |
43% |
32% |
24% |
58% |
24% |
17% |
| 35 |
Salt Lake City * |
57% |
25% |
18% |
78% |
4% |
18% |
15% |
63% |
21% |
49% |
35% |
16% |
1100 |
457 |
± 4.7 |
KSL-TV |
44% |
29% |
26% |
55% |
26% |
19% |
53% |
29% |
18% |
|
|
Geographies ranked, for
ease of visual comprehension, by the percentage of debate watchers in each
geography who say Kerry won debate. |
|
Exact wording of
question, asked only of those who watched debate in full: "Did Bush
clearly win the debate? Did Kerry clearly win the debate? Or would you say
there no clear winner?" |
| * |
Mountain Time Zone &
Pacific Time Zone surveys were conducted Wednesday night, 10/13, immediately
following debate. |
|
Eastern Time Zone &
Central Time Zone surveys were conducted Thursday 10/14, the day after the
debate. |
|
Respondents for each
surevy were selected at random and interviewed by telephone. The overall
sample of adults was demograhpically weighted to gender, ace and race, for
each geography. |
|
Surveys of Metropolitan
areas were conducted of a "Designated Market Area" (or TV DMA) as
defined by Nielsen Media Research |
|
©
2004 SurveyUSA, 1-800-786-8000. SurveyUSA Is Proud To Be America's Pollster®.
Additional detail is available to accredited media. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|